Pre-tourney Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#284
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#273
Pace67.1#192
Improvement-4.3#323

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#331
Improvement-6.6#350

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#165
Improvement+2.3#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2013 152   @ Santa Clara L 77-89 15%     0 - 1 -8.1 +0.5 -7.9
  Nov 15, 2013 164   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 61-64 23%     0 - 2 -2.8 -10.3 +7.4
  Nov 16, 2013 196   @ Northern Illinois L 59-60 21%     0 - 3 +0.0 +0.4 -0.6
  Nov 17, 2013 262   James Madison L 66-79 43%     0 - 4 -18.6 -11.1 -6.9
  Nov 20, 2013 156   @ Pepperdine W 83-77 15%     1 - 4 +9.6 +9.9 -0.4
  Nov 23, 2013 233   Cal St. Fullerton W 81-59 48%     2 - 4 +15.1 +5.6 +9.7
  Nov 27, 2013 110   @ Portland L 69-86 10%     2 - 5 -10.3 -2.1 -7.9
  Nov 30, 2013 171   @ Weber St. L 55-72 18%     2 - 6 -14.6 -9.9 -7.1
  Dec 07, 2013 127   @ Houston W 72-68 12%     3 - 6 +9.5 +1.0 +8.6
  Dec 18, 2013 304   UC Davis W 89-85 3OT 68%     4 - 6 -8.3 -11.9 +2.7
  Jan 01, 2014 139   Nevada L 50-62 26%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -12.9 -14.3 -1.1
  Jan 04, 2014 118   @ Utah St. L 67-86 11%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -12.8 +0.8 -15.2
  Jan 08, 2014 132   Colorado St. L 64-66 25%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -2.4 -3.9 +1.3
  Jan 11, 2014 31   New Mexico L 65-69 7%     4 - 10 0 - 4 +5.1 -5.0 +10.2
  Jan 15, 2014 225   @ Air Force L 62-77 26%     4 - 11 0 - 5 -15.8 -9.3 -6.6
  Jan 18, 2014 109   @ Wyoming L 56-67 10%     4 - 12 0 - 6 -4.3 -2.2 -4.0
  Jan 22, 2014 29   San Diego St. L 50-75 6%     4 - 13 0 - 7 -15.0 -15.4 +1.1
  Jan 25, 2014 68   @ Boise St. L 55-76 6%     4 - 14 0 - 8 -10.9 -11.7 -1.0
  Jan 29, 2014 77   UNLV L 46-70 15%     4 - 15 0 - 9 -20.1 -17.6 -5.8
  Feb 01, 2014 31   @ New Mexico L 47-72 3%     4 - 16 0 - 10 -10.4 -10.2 -4.8
  Feb 08, 2014 123   @ Fresno St. L 56-82 11%     4 - 17 0 - 11 -20.1 -12.3 -9.7
  Feb 12, 2014 225   Air Force L 48-51 46%     4 - 18 0 - 12 -9.4 -22.2 +12.5
  Feb 15, 2014 109   Wyoming L 38-46 21%     4 - 19 0 - 13 -6.8 -23.6 +14.8
  Feb 18, 2014 139   @ Nevada W 66-64 13%     5 - 19 1 - 13 +6.7 -0.6 +7.5
  Feb 25, 2014 29   @ San Diego St. L 64-90 3%     5 - 20 1 - 14 -10.5 -3.1 -4.9
  Mar 01, 2014 118   Utah St. L 58-75 22%     5 - 21 1 - 15 -16.4 -18.6 +2.8
  Mar 05, 2014 132   @ Colorado St. L 66-78 12%     5 - 22 1 - 16 -6.8 -1.8 -5.9
  Mar 08, 2014 123   Fresno St. L 56-69 23%     5 - 23 1 - 17 -12.7 -16.2 +2.8
  Mar 12, 2014 68   Boise St. L 52-83 9%     5 - 24 -23.7 -21.3 -2.1
Projected Record 5.0 - 24.0 1.0 - 17.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%